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Are consumers’ spending decisions in line with a euler equation?

  • Lena Dräger
  • , Hong Giang Nghiem

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer review

Abstract

Evaluating a new survey of German consumers, we test whether individual consumption spending decisions are formed according to a Euler equation model. We find that consumers are more likely to increase current spending if they plan to increase spending in the future and if they expect higher inflation. In the subsample of financially literate households, we find an additional negative effect of nominal interest rate expectations. The effects of macroeconomic expectations become stronger if consumers observed news on monetary policy or financial markets. These news effects are particularly pronounced for consumers who save and those with low inflation forecast accuracy.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)580-596
Number of pages17
JournalReview of Economics and Statistics
Volume103
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 12 Jul 2021

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Social Sciences (miscellaneous)
  • Economics and Econometrics

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