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Stochastic root finding and efficient estimation of convex risk measures

  • Jörn Dunkel*
  • , Stefan Weber
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Research › peer review

Abstract

Reliable risk measurement is a key problem for financial institutions and regulatory authorities. The current industry standard Value-at-Risk has several deficiencies. Improved risk measures have been suggested and analyzed in the recent literature, but their computational implementation has largely been neglected so far. We propose and investigate stochastic approximation algorithms for the convex risk measure Utility-Based Shortfall Risk. Our approach combines stochastic root-finding schemes with importance sampling. We prove that the resulting Shortfall Risk estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal, and provide formulas for confidence intervals. The performance of the proposed algorithms is tested numerically. We finally apply our techniques to the Normal Copula Model, which is also known as the industry model CreditMetrics. This provides guidance for future implementations in practice.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1505-1521
Number of pages17
JournalOperations research
Volume58
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Sept 2010

Keywords

  • Convex risk measures
  • Exponential twisting
  • Importance sampling
  • Portfolio credit risk management
  • Shortfall risk
  • Stochastic approximation
  • Stochastic root finding

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Computer Science Applications
  • Management Science and Operations Research

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